Forecast Contours for New Zealand Earthquake, Cook Strait
Just in the last few minutes, signficant numbers of aftershocks have continued to accumulate. I show a screenshot of the forecast contours in the region for M>6.5 earthquakes over the next 1 year (not yet updated to reflect the current event). It can be seen there are significant areas of enhanced probability to the north of North Island, and off the soutwest coast of South Island.
About OpenHazards Bloggers
Steven Ward is a Research Geophysicist at
the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, UC Santa Cruz. He specializes in the quantification and simulation of
natural hazards. Read Steve's blog.
John Rundle is a Distinguished Professor of Physics
and Geology at UC Davis and
the Executive Director of the APEC Collaboration for Earthquake Simulations. He
chaired the Board of Advisors for the Southern California Earthquake Center from 1994 to 1996. Read John's blog.
Comments
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