Chile Earthquake Magnitude M7.8 Aftershock
Some computations from the hazard viewer. This event is much closer to Iquique than the mainshock, probably more damage.
(Update 21:29 PDT: Magnitude now downgraded to 7.6)
Events and forecast map, together with selection circle.
Table of forecast probabilities as of this moment (has not been updated yet, forecast will be updated as usual this evening at midnight)
Forecast probability timeseries for magnitude M>6:
Forecast probability timeseries for magnitude M>7:
About OpenHazards Bloggers
Steven Ward is a Research Geophysicist at the Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, UC Santa Cruz. He specializes in the quantification and simulation of natural hazards. Read Steve's blog.
John Rundle is a Distinguished Professor of Physics and Geology at UC Davis and the Executive Director of the APEC Collaboration for Earthquake Simulations. He chaired the Board of Advisors for the Southern California Earthquake Center from 1994 to 1996. Read John's blog.