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Pacific Northwest At Risk For Mega-Earthquake

Science Daily Headlines reports on research by Oregon State University marine geologist Chris Goldfinger showing that earthquakes of magnitude 8.2 (or higher) have occurred 41 times during the past 10,000 years in the Pacific Northwest. By his extrapolation, there is a 37% chance of another major earthquake in the area in the next 50 years that could exceed the power of recent seismic events in Chile and Haiti.

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jill's picture

What would a really “Big One” look like?

People who live anywhere along the Earth’s tectonic plate boundaries (the so-called “ring of fire” know that at any time  “the big one” – a really, really large, damaging earthquake – could happen. The largest earthquake in recorded history was a 9.5 event along the coast of Chile in 1960. The second largest was a 9.2 along the southern coast of Alaska in 1964. Since January, 1700, only six events have occurred that were 9.0 or larger – one of them as recently as 2004 in Sumatra, Indonesia.

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jrholliday's picture

So Many Earthquakes! The End Is Nigh!

Michael Reilly from DiscoveryNews writes about the unusually high number of earthquakes this year:

 

After the magnitude 6.9 earthquake in China early Wednesday morning, things are starting to look a little bleak on this planet of ours. This year is only three and a half months old, and yet there have been devastating earthquakes in Haiti, Chile, and China.

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john's picture

Today's Magnitude 6.9 Earthquake, Yushu, China

An earthquake measuring 6.9 on the Moment-magnitude scale has struck southern Qinghai,
China, near the city of Yushu in the Tibet Autonomous Region.  Using the Hazard Viewer tool
on this web site, together with the Recent Earthquakes display, it can be determined that the ground
shaking resulting from the earthquake in Yushu was between 8% g and 12% g, equivalent
to Modified Mercalli Intensity V to VI.  Shaking of this intensity is enough to collapse some buildings
constructed of unreinforced masonry, as might be common in the region.

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john's picture

Earthquake Insurance and You

In an article published today on the web site InsuranceRate.com, Lucas Eichman discusses earthquake insurance in California.  He quotes Glenn Pomeroy, CEO of the California Earthquake Authority:   "Lets say the 7.2 (Baja earthquake) that happened on Sunday happened under Los Angeles.  We would see massive destruction.  Homes destroyed.  Infrastructure badly damaged."

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john's picture

Aftershocks

Aftershocks are earthquakes that are triggered by a previous, larger earthquake mainshock.  Today we know that aftershocks are a result of the transfer of stress from the region of the mainshock to surrounding, smaller faults.   About 5%-10% of mainshocks have foreshocks, which can be regarded as instances when the aftershock is larger than the mainshock.

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john's picture

Earthquake Correlations - II

In the year 1657, the Dutch scientist Christian Huygens observed that if two pendulum clocks were mounted adjacent to each other on the same support, the subtle and almost imperceptible vibrations of the swinging pendulums would cause those pendulums to become synchronized, swinging in opposite directions.  He referred to this phenomenon as "odd sympathy".

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john's picture

Earthquake Correlations

Haiti, January 12, 2010, magnitude 7.0.  Chile, February 27, 2010, magnitude 8.8.  Baja, April 4, 2010, magnitude 7.0.  Sumatra, April 6, 2010, magnitude 7.7.   Are they related?  Although it is rather unlikely, the simple answer is that no one knows for sure, because it is a very difficult proposition to unequivocally prove. 

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Today's Magnitude 7.7 Sumatra Earthquake

 

Yet another earthquake occurred today in Sumatra, Indonesia.  Preliminary estimates place the magnitude at 7.7, a very large earthquake.  The depth was about 30 km.  Earthquakes of this size can cause damage, injuries and deaths as was seen in Haiti. A tsunami watch was issued.

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Yesterday's Magnitude 7.2 Mexicali Earthquake

About 40 years ago a Japanese seismologist by the name of Kiyoo Mogi proposed the idea that before a large earthquake occurs, there are a series of earthquakes of increasing magnitude that occur as a "run-up" to the main event.  These events surround the eventual fault that breaks in the main earthquake in a kind of "donut" pattern, with the main earthquake then occurring in the "hole" of the "donut".  Since that time, seismologists call this type of precursory pattern a "Mogi Donut". 

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