Update on Yesterday's Pakistan Earthquake M7.7

john's picture

Latest reports now indicate that as many as 200+ persons may have died in the disaster.  Contours of earthquake probability show significant changes from yesterday as would be expected.  A 200 km circle drawn around the epicentral region shows a continued moderate probability of a very destructive M>7 event (6%) in the next 3 years, due to the possibility of large aftershocks.  There is also a high probability of large event M>6 (38%) in the next 3 years that could cause considerable damage and loss of life due to the poor quality of construction in the area.

Risk Alert